It is estimated that total emissions resulting from the 2016-17 Draft Budget will be 8.8 Mt CO2-equivalent. On a consistent basis, the greenhouse gas emissions associated with the 2015-16 Draft Budget would be 9.0 MtCO2-equivalent.
Emissions remain broadly proportional to spend across portfolios, with Health, Wellbeing and Sport, and Social Justice, Communities and Pensioners’ Rights being the largest Draft Budget items, with the highest emissions.
The Carbon Assessment does not capture ‘second-round’ emissions; while we do include emission impacts associated with Government spend and its supply chain, we do not count the emissions or savings associated with all of the outcomes arising from Government spending. For example, while the emissions associated with manufacturing and installing insulation are included, we do not count the carbon that may be saved in future as a result of making that improvement to the housing stock.
Alongside this analysis of the carbon impact of the Draft Budget, the Scottish Government will continue to use additional methods to improve understanding of the impact on emissions of Government expenditure, and of our policies.