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Police Reform Programme Outline Business Case

DescriptionOutline Business Case for Police Reform Programme
Official Print Publication DateSeptember 2011
Website Publication DateSeptember 15, 2011


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Executive Summary
The case for change

CHAPTER 1: Introduction

CHAPTER 2: The Strategic Case for Reform
Alignment Of Police Reform with Christie Commission Findings
Outcomes and Objectives for Scottish Policing
Strategic Context
The Case for Change

CHAPTER 3: Developing a Target Operating Model
Methodology and Process
Key issues relating to the Target Operating Model

CHAPTER 4: Options for Reform
Initial options for Appraisal
Developing the Options - the OBC
Option 1 - Eight forces model with enhanced national delivery
Option 2 - Regional Force model with enhanced national delivery
Option 3 - Single Service model

CHAPTER 5: Option Appraisal
Efficiency Savings
Wider Impact on Outcomes

CHAPTER 6: Financial Appraisal
Financial appraisal summary

CHAPTER 7: Risk and Sensitivity Analysis
Sensitivity Analysis

CHAPTER 8: Identifying the Preferred Option
Monetary costs and benefits
Non-monetary costs and benefits
Preferred option

CHAPTER 9: Progressing the Preffered Option
Programme management arrangements
The Commercial Case

APPENDIX 1: Glossary

APPENDIX 2: Alignment of Police Reform with Christie Commision Findings

APPENDIX 3 - Notes to the Option Appraisal and Financial Appraisal
Introduction to the notes and assumptions
Efficiency - Methodology and Assumptions
Efficiency potential within the Target Operating Model
Cost - Methodology and Assumptions

List of Figures and Tables

Table 2.1 Current and previous police force structures

Table 2.2 Police officers/staff, population and area; by force ,,,

Figure 3.1 Current Operating Model

Figure 3.2 Target Operating Model

Figure 4.1: Eight forces with enhanced national delivery

Figure 4.1A: Eight forces with enhanced versions of SCDEA and SPSA operating model

Table 4.1 Key features of the eight-forces (enhanced) option

Figure 4.2: Regional Force Structure

Figure 4.2A: Regional Force Operating Model

Table 4.2: Key features of the Regional Force option

Figure 4.3: Single Service Structure

Figure 4.3A: Single Service Operating Model

Table 4.3: Key features of the Single Service option

Table 5.1: Efficiency Savings - Option 1 (Eight forces enhanced)

Table 5.2: Efficiency Savings - Option 2 (Regional force)

Table 5.3: Efficiency Savings - Option 3 (Single force)

Table 5.4: Cumulative efficiency savings; by period and option

Table 5.5: Costs - Option 1 (Eight forces - enhanced)

Table 5.6: Costs - Option 2 (Regional force)

Table 5.7: Costs - Option 3 (Single force)

Table 5.8: Estimated total cost comparison; by period and option

Table 5.9: Net Present Value summary; by period and option

Table 5.10: Comparison of regional and single service models against key strategic considerations

Table 5.11: Non-financial benefit categories

Table 5.12: Non-financial benefit scoring framework

Table 5.13: Non-financial benefit scores, by option

Table 6.1: Financial Benefits - Option 1 (Eight forces - enhanced)

Table 6.2: Financial Benefits - Option 2 (Regional force)

Table 6.3: Financial Benefits - Option 3 (Single service)

Table 6.4: Cumulative financial benefits; by period and option

Table 6.5: Redundancy estimates; by option

Table 6.6: VAT-related cost estimates; by option

Table 6.7: Five-year cost estimates - Option 1 (Eight forces enhanced)

Table 6.8: Five-year cost estimates - Option 2 (Regional force)

Table 6.9: Five-year cost estimates - Option 3 (Single service)

Table 6.10: Estimated one-off transition costs (years 0-4)

Table 6.11 Cash Flow Summary

Figure 6.1 Cash Flow Summary

Table 6.12 Summary of funding requirements and payback periods; by option

Table 7.1: Key risks to the delivery of benefits; by option

Table 7.2 Impact of reduced efficiency savings on NPVs

Table 8.1: Ranking of option on monetary factors

Table A2 Estimated programme costs; by option

Table A3 Estimated people costs - Option 1 (Eight forces enhanced)

Table A4 Estimated people costs - Option 2 (regional force)

Table A5 Estimated people costs - Option 3 (single force)

Table A6 Five year people-related costs (Economic); by option

Table A7 Five year people-related costs (Financial); by option

Table A8 Estimated Shadow Governance Costs; by option

Table A9 Estimated Technology costs

Table A10 Economic Analysis - Option 1 (Eight forces enhanced)

Table A11 Economic Analysis - Option 2 (Regional force)

Table A12 Economic Analysis - Option 3 (Single force)

Table A13 Financial Analysis - Option 1 (Eight forces enhanced)

Table A14 Financial Analysis - Option 2 (Regional force)

Table A15 Financial Analysis - Option 3 (Single force)