We have a new website go to gov.scot

Scottish Energy Study Volume 5: Energy and Carbon Dioxide Projections for Scotland

DescriptionVolume 5 of the Scottish Energy Study contains a set of predictions of possible energy related supply and demand trends, along with associated carbon emissions up to the period 2020.
Official Print Publication Date
Website Publication DateNovember 14, 2008


ISBN 978 0 1858 4 (Web only publication)
This document is also available in pdf format (492k)


The Scottish Energy Study

Executive Summary
Sensitivity Analysis
Energy Prices

Glossary of acronyms and terms used in this report

1. Introduction

2. Methodology and Assumptions

3. Energy Demand to 2020
3.1. Energy Demand in the Domestic Sector
3.2. Energy Demand in Transport
3.3. Energy Demand in Industry
3.4. Energy Demand in Services and Agriculture
3.5. Summary of Scottish Final Energy Demand

4. Energy Supply
4.1. Electricity Generation
4.2. Oil Refining
4.3. Primary Energy Consumption

5. Energy Related Carbon Dioxide Emissions

6. Sensitivity Analysis
6.1. Choice of Sensitivity Parameters
6.2. Demand Sensitivity Analysis
6.3. Overall Impact of Demand Sensitivity Analysis
6.4. Supply Side Sensitivity Analysis
6.5. Overall Impact of Supply Side Sensitivity
6.6. Overall Impact of both Supply and Demand Side Sensitivity
6.7. Projection Uncertainty

7. Key Observations from the projections to 2020


Scottish Energy Study: Final Report


Scottish Government

Customer reference

QLC 2/11/2

Confidentiality, copyright and reproduction

This report is the Copyright of the Scottish Government and has been prepared by AEA Technology plc under contract to the Scottish Government. The contents of this report may not be reproduced in whole or in part, nor passed to any organisation or person without the specific prior written permission of the Scottish Government. AEA Technology plc accepts no liability whatsoever to any third party for any loss or damage arising from any interpretation or use of the information contained in this report, or reliance on any views expressed therein.

File reference

ED02061 - Volume 5

Report number



Glengarnock Technology Centre
Caledonian Road
Lochshore Business Park
KA14 3DD

Telephone 0870 190 6191
Facsimile 0870 190 5151

AEA is a business name of AEA Technology plc
AEA is certificated to ISO9001 and ISO14001



George Marsh, Colin McNaught

Approved by


Colin McNaught


signature graphic


27 October 2008