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Technical Note: Increase exports

Increase Exports

DESCRIPTION:

This indicator measures the annual value of exports to the rest of the world (not including the rest of the UK or Oil and Gas exports) as published in Export Statistics Scotland). The figures are not adjusted for inflation.

SOURCE:

Export Statistics Scotland

Exports Statistics Scotland (ESS) is a National Statistics publication that produces estimates of Scotland’s international and rest of the UK exports.

The Global Connection Survey, which is sent to businesses each year by the Scottish Government, informs much of the estimates of international exports published in this report and is the only source for estimates of exports from Scotland to the rest of the UK.  Data have been collected annually since 2002.

Further to the GCS, relevant estimates for businesses in Scotland are also sourced from the official and administrative sources produced by the Office for National Statistics and other parts of the Scottish Government.

Further information on the methodology of the source is available at the link below:

Export Statistics Scotland Methodology

DEFINITIONS:

Exports are defined as direct sales to customers based outside the UK, including those to visitors to Scotland. Therefore goods which are sold to elsewhere in the UK and subsequently exported will not be included in these figures. Figures are gross of indirect taxes, duties and levies (except VAT) invoiced to customers and exports of goods are on free on board basis (exclude overseas freight and insurance costs).

In accordance with National Accounting principles, the oil and gas sector are excluded from the analysis as this is not attributed to any one area of the UK - termed "extra-regio" activity.

BASELINE AND PAST TRENDS:

The baseline year for this indicator is 2006. Prior to the baseline, between 2002 (when the survey began) and 2005, the total value of Scottish exports to the rest of the world (not including the rest of the UK) declined in every year.

The national indicator to increase exports (with baseline 2006) is supported by a target in the Government Economic Strategy for Scottish businesses to deliver a 50% increase in the value of international exports by 2017 (with baseline 2010).

Value of Scottish exports (£ million)

Year

Exports to rest of world

2002

20,485

2003

19,540

2004

19,035

2005

18,545

2006

19,465

2007

20,580

2008

22,405

2009

22,630

2010

24,055

2011

27,085

2012

27,630

2013

28,800

2014

28,225
2015

29,335

2016

29,795

​Source: Export Statistics Scotland 2016 

Note: The ESS methodology incorporates new information into the export analysis. Therefore, previously published estimates have been revised.

CRITERIA FOR RECENT CHANGE ARROW:

This evaluation is based on: any difference within +/- 3% of last year's figure suggests that the position is more likely to be maintaining than showing any change. An increase of 3% or more suggests the position is improving; whereas a decrease of 3% or more suggests the position is worsening.

For information on general methodoligical approach, please click here.

FUTURE ISSUES OR REVIEWS:

No issues.

ASSOCIATED TARGET:

Target: To deliver a 50% increase in the value of international exports by 2017

Link to related pages: Government Economic Strategy

End point: 2017 (the data for the endpoint of 2017 will be published in 2019). The baseline for this target is 2010.